The Probabilities of Breeding Pure Axies Part 2

tl;dr; Using a more realistic probabilistic model that takes into account destructive and neutral mutations, the probability of obtaining at least two 100% pure Aqua offspring from two 100% Aqua parents are 15.21% when bred 2 times, 34.24% when bred 3 times, 51.32% when bred 4 times, 65.14% when bred 5 times, 75.61% when bred 6 times and 83.24% when bred 7 times.

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The Probabilities of Breeding Pure Axies

tl;dr; The probabilities of obtaining at least two pure offspring when breeding two pure Axies twice is 7.97%, three times 19.41%, four times 31.75%, five times 43.52%, six times 54.09% and seven times 63.2%

Update: A new article is available with a more realistic model and probabilities.

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Reading Data from the Ronin Sidechain

In order to automate processes related to Axie Infinity I needed to read data from smart contracts deployed to the Ronin sidechain. Because Ronin is an EVM compatible blockchain, the same tools used for Ethereum will work for Ronin. However, you still need three critical things: the URL of a Ronin RPC server, the ABI of the smart contract you want to interact with and the address it was deployed to on Ronin.

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The Metaverse vs Nation States

Perhaps the most intriguing aspect of blockchain games for me is that they might be the embodiment of the metaverse, digital nations with citizens, government, jobs, investment opportunities, policies and even taxes. Granted, the only blockchain game that I have explored so far is Axie Infinity but the more I learn about it the more evident the similarities with nation states become.

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Starting an Axie Breeding Farm

tl;dr;

To start a profitable breeding farm you will need three high purity (>90%) Aqua Axies that have the following body parts: Sponge (back), Risky Fish (mouth), Shoal Star (horns) and Nimo (tail). If purity needs to be sacrificed for affordability do it on the eyes and ears of an Axie.

Update: The research for this article was done previous to Sky Mavis announcing changes in their reward system that had a ripple effect on the Marketplace decreasing the value of some types of Axies.

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